Live leaderboards · prediction markets + perp futures

TOP MOVERS BY CATEGORY

Where the action is right now — broken out across 7 topic areas. Each category surfaces the most-traded markets, the most extreme positions (closest to 0 or 1), the coin-flip markets (highest entropy at ~50¢), and the widest arbitrage gaps. Plus a Hyperliquid perpetual-futures panel at the bottom for top gainers, losers, and volume. Powered by the live snapshot of 600 Polymarket markets and 73 HIP-3 prediction outcomes.

Politics102 PM markets

Most active

by 24h volume

  1. 1Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?YES 0.6¢ · vol $4.94M
  2. 2Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?YES 0.9¢ · vol $742.9k
  3. 3Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?YES 0.8¢ · vol $655.1k
  4. 4Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?YES 0.7¢ · vol $460.6k
  5. 5Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?YES 1.8¢ · vol $449.7k

Most extreme

closest to 0¢ or 100¢

  1. 1Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  2. 2Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  3. 3Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  4. 4Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?YES 99.8¢ · near YES
  5. 5Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?YES 0.3¢ · near NO

Coin-flip markets

closest to 50¢ · maximum entropy

  1. 1Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?YES 50.0¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  2. 2Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?YES 51.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  3. 3Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?YES 55.0¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  4. 4Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?YES 60.0¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  5. 5Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?YES 36.0¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit

Sports133 PM markets · 56 HL preds

Most active

by 24h volume

  1. 1Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?YES 0.4¢ · vol $7.35M
  2. 2Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?YES 0.3¢ · vol $6.74M
  3. 3Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?YES 0.7¢ · vol $4.73M
  4. 4Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?YES 0.4¢ · vol $4.23M
  5. 5Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?YES 0.9¢ · vol $4.08M

Most extreme

closest to 0¢ or 100¢

  1. 1Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsYES 100.0¢ · near YES
  2. 2Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 WinnerYES 100.0¢ · near YES
  3. 3Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  4. 4LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerYES 0.1¢ · near NO
  5. 5Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?YES 0.1¢ · near NO

Coin-flip markets

closest to 50¢ · maximum entropy

  1. 1UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)YES 49.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  2. 2Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsYES 50.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  3. 3LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsYES 51.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  4. 4LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 WinnerYES 47.0¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  5. 5Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?YES 46.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit

Widest arbitrage

HL HIP-3 · |1 − Σ sides|

  1. 1DrawΣ 100.0% · gap 0.00pp
  2. 2DrawΣ 100.0% · gap 0.00pp
  3. 3DrawΣ 100.0% · gap 0.00pp
  4. 4DrawΣ 100.0% · gap 0.00pp
  5. 5DrawΣ 100.0% · gap 0.00pp

Crypto46 PM markets

Most active

by 24h volume

  1. 1Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?YES 0.1¢ · vol $229.8k
  2. 2Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14?YES 100.0¢ · vol $210.0k
  3. 3Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14?YES 1.3¢ · vol $199.5k
  4. 4Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?YES 2.1¢ · vol $157.0k
  5. 5Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14?YES 0.1¢ · vol $154.8k

Most extreme

closest to 0¢ or 100¢

  1. 1Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14?YES 100.0¢ · near YES
  2. 2Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 15?YES 100.0¢ · near YES
  3. 3Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 14?YES 100.0¢ · near YES
  4. 4Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  5. 5Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14?YES 0.1¢ · near NO

Coin-flip markets

closest to 50¢ · maximum entropy

  1. 1Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?YES 58.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  2. 2Ethereum Up or Down on June 14?YES 39.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  3. 3Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?YES 27.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  4. 4Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?YES 20.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  5. 5Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14?YES 80.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit

Weather11 PM markets

Most active

by 24h volume

  1. 1Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?YES 0.1¢ · vol $42.8k
  2. 2Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14?YES 100.0¢ · vol $37.6k
  3. 3Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?YES 81.3¢ · vol $35.5k
  4. 4Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?YES 95.5¢ · vol $33.4k
  5. 5Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 14?YES 0.1¢ · vol $31.4k

Most extreme

closest to 0¢ or 100¢

  1. 1Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14?YES 100.0¢ · near YES
  2. 2Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  3. 3Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 14?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  4. 4Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 14?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  5. 5Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14?YES 0.1¢ · near NO

Coin-flip markets

closest to 50¢ · maximum entropy

  1. 1Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?YES 81.3¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  2. 2Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?YES 95.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  3. 3Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C or below on June 14?YES 0.1¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  4. 4Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?YES 99.9¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  5. 5Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?YES 0.1¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit

Economy15 PM markets · 1 HL pred

Most active

by 24h volume

  1. 1Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?YES 99.6¢ · vol $1.46M
  2. 2Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?YES 0.1¢ · vol $1.35M
  3. 3Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?YES 0.1¢ · vol $1.20M
  4. 4Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?YES 0.3¢ · vol $1.13M
  5. 5Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?YES 0.1¢ · vol $177.5k

Most extreme

closest to 0¢ or 100¢

  1. 1Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  2. 2Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  3. 3Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  4. 4Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?YES 0.3¢ · near NO
  5. 5Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?YES 0.3¢ · near NO

Coin-flip markets

closest to 50¢ · maximum entropy

  1. 1Fed rate hike in 2026?YES 42.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  2. 2Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?YES 78.8¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  3. 3Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?YES 15.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  4. 4Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?YES 92.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  5. 5Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?YES 4.0¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit

Widest arbitrage

HL HIP-3 · |1 − Σ sides|

  1. 1June Fed rate changeΣ 100.0% · gap 0.00pp

Geopolitics68 PM markets · 1 HL pred

Most active

by 24h volume

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?YES 21.9¢ · vol $6.21M
  2. 2US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?YES 5.9¢ · vol $3.01M
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?YES 49.0¢ · vol $1.87M
  4. 4US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?YES 0.1¢ · vol $1.04M
  5. 5US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14YES 26.5¢ · vol $887.7k

Most extreme

closest to 0¢ or 100¢

  1. 1US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  2. 2Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  3. 3Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  4. 4Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?YES 0.1¢ · near NO
  5. 5Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?YES 0.1¢ · near NO

Coin-flip markets

closest to 50¢ · maximum entropy

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?YES 49.0¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  2. 2US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?YES 52.0¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  3. 3US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?YES 54.0¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?YES 62.0¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  5. 5 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?YES 38.0¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit

Widest arbitrage

HL HIP-3 · |1 − Σ sides|

  1. 1IranΣ 100.0% · gap 0.00pp

Tech8 PM markets

Most active

by 24h volume

  1. 1Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?YES 0.4¢ · vol $99.1k
  2. 2Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?YES 96.7¢ · vol $43.1k
  3. 3Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?YES 91.8¢ · vol $37.5k
  4. 4Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?YES 2.4¢ · vol $35.7k
  5. 5Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?YES 2.8¢ · vol $34.4k

Most extreme

closest to 0¢ or 100¢

  1. 1Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?YES 0.3¢ · near NO
  2. 2Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?YES 0.4¢ · near NO
  3. 3Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?YES 2.4¢ · near NO
  4. 4Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?YES 2.8¢ · near NO
  5. 5Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?YES 96.7¢ · near YES

Coin-flip markets

closest to 50¢ · maximum entropy

  1. 1Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?YES 89.0¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  2. 2Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?YES 91.8¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  3. 3Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?YES 6.5¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  4. 4Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?YES 96.7¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit
  5. 5Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?YES 2.8¢ · H ≈ 1.00 bit

Hyperliquid perpetuals179 perps tracked

Top gainers

24h price change

  1. 1SKR-USD+25.61% · $0.011
  2. 2MEGA-USD+18.21% · $0.061
  3. 3APEX-USD+12.61% · $0.287
  4. 4TAO-USD+12.44% · $276.12
  5. 5CHIP-USD+9.51% · $0.035

Top losers

24h price change

  1. 1HMSTR-USD-8.99% · $0
  2. 2TRUMP-USD-7.59% · $2.02
  3. 3VVV-USD-7.44% · $15.974
  4. 4NOT-USD-6.80% · $0
  5. 5STABLE-USD-4.94% · $0.035

Most volume

24h notional traded

  1. 1BTC-USD$1.38B · OI $2.11B
  2. 2ETH-USD$665.94M · OI $1.24B
  3. 3HYPE-USD$318.03M · OI $1.26B
  4. 4SOL-USD$132.20M · OI $268.49M
  5. 5TAO-USD$77.44M · OI $57.63M