TF-IDF basket · Engle-Granger pairs · Polymarket

Related to Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?

Markets in the same TF-IDF topic cluster, with a 7-day Engle-Granger cointegration screen against each peer. Pairs with t-statistic below −3.34 reject the null of no cointegration at the 5% level — meaning the two markets share a stationary spread useful for relative-value trades.

§1 · Topic basket · “crypto · bitcoin · 000” (45 markets)

Top terms: cryptobitcoin000pricejuneabove

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14?100.0¢ YES · $77.0k 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 14?100.0¢ YES · $88.0k 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15?100.0¢ YES · $39.4k 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 14?100.0¢ YES · $26.0k 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 15?99.9¢ YES · $97.4k 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 14?100.0¢ YES · $30.0k 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 15?99.9¢ YES · $79.7k 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14?100.0¢ YES · $264.5k 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15?98.5¢ YES · $27.8k 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14?99.9¢ YES · $287.3k 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15?91.3¢ YES · $49.9k 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14?68.5¢ YES · $163.0k 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14?0.1¢ YES · $273.9k 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?9.5¢ YES · $43.9k 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14?0.1¢ YES · $214.0k 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 15?0.8¢ YES · $55.0k 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14?0.1¢ YES · $104.1k 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 14?0.1¢ YES · $67.8k 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14?8.5¢ YES · $265.6k 24h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 14?0.1¢ YES · $57.0k 24h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 14?0.1¢ YES · $44.7k 24h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 14?0.1¢ YES · $45.2k 24h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 14?1.9¢ YES · $78.2k 24h
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?2.8¢ YES · $77.1k 24h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?4.3¢ YES · $54.9k 24h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?7.8¢ YES · $137.7k 24h
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?12.0¢ YES · $85.2k 24h
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?0.1¢ YES · $239.6k 24h
★ Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?0.1¢ YES · $101.7k 24h
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?1.9¢ YES · $30.8k 24h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?85.0¢ YES · $122.0k 24h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?5.5¢ YES · $41.3k 24h
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?24.5¢ YES · $56.9k 24h
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?9.5¢ YES · $32.5k 24h
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?3.3¢ YES · $54.8k 24h
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?1.9¢ YES · $157.1k 24h
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?1.1¢ YES · $73.7k 24h
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 8-14?1.1¢ YES · $26.3k 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14?0.1¢ YES · $29.9k 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14?0.4¢ YES · $39.3k 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 14?69.5¢ YES · $38.1k 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14?0.1¢ YES · $29.0k 24h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 14?0.2¢ YES · $32.5k 24h
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 14?0.2¢ YES · $35.0k 24h
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 14?0.1¢ YES · $63.7k 24h

§2 · Engle-Granger cointegration screen (8 pairs tested)

For each peer, 7d aligned series are regressed; the residuals are tested for a unit root (ADF). Reject H₀ (no cointegration) at 5% when t < −3.34. Cointegrated pairs share a stationary spread — candidates for pairs / basket trades.

Peer	t-stat	n	Verdict
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 14?	-5.474	168	▲ cointegrated · pair candidate
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 14?	-4.747	168	▲ cointegrated · pair candidate
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14?	-4.704	168	▲ cointegrated · pair candidate
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 14?	-4.667	168	▲ cointegrated · pair candidate
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 15?	-4.299	144	▲ cointegrated · pair candidate
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 15?	-4.296	144	▲ cointegrated · pair candidate
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15?	-4.283	144	▲ cointegrated · pair candidate
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14?	-4.097	168	▲ cointegrated · pair candidate

▸ Advanced metrics · M2M bundle

polymarket · will-bitcoin-reach-100k-in-june-2026 · fresh · feed 0s old

24h sparkline · 60 pts▼ -40.00%

realized vol (ann.)

2.96%

max drawdown

40.00%

sharpe

—

ulcer index

20.55%

RMS drawdown

pain index

10.56%

mean drawdown

mod. VaR 95%

0.00%

Cornish-Fisher

martin ratio

—

ret / ulcer

CDaR 95%

40.00%

cond. drawdown

gain/pain

0.00

Σgain / Σ|loss|

sterling

—

ret / CDaR

omega (θ=0)

0.00

upside/downside

roll spread

4.5 bps

implied (price-only)

bars used

2000

store

spread

—

24h Δ

-40.00%

flow lean

—

carry

flat

signalNEUTRALconfidence 25%

24h change -40.00%

Same bundle via M2M API: /api/m2m/pm-will-bitcoin-reach-100k-in-june-2026/bundle · venue execution: polymarket →