KALSHI · CFTC-CLEARED BINARY CONTRACT · SPORTS

Colombia vs Portugal Winner?

YES · live
48.0¢
NO · live
53.0¢

▸ Advanced metrics · M2M bundle

kalshi · kxwcgame-26jun27colpor-por · fresh · feed 48s old
realized vol (ann.)
—
max drawdown
—
sharpe
—
ulcer index
—
RMS drawdown
pain index
—
mean drawdown
mod. VaR 95%
—
Cornish-Fisher
martin ratio
—
ret / ulcer
CDaR 95%
—
cond. drawdown
gain/pain
—
Σgain / Σ|loss|
sterling
—
ret / CDaR
omega (θ=0)
—
upside/downside
roll spread
—
implied (price-only)
bars used
0
insufficient
spread
425.5 bps
24h Δ
—
flow lean
—
carry
flat
signalNEUTRALconfidence 0%
  • insufficient history for risk metrics — directional read only
Same bundle via M2M API: /api/m2m/kalshi-kxwcgame-26jun27colpor-por/bundle · venue execution: kalshi →
LIVEPOLL0SRCWARMING48.1s⏱--:--:-- UTC8NEXT8.0sUP0s--:--HIST0/30
▶ STREAMING·HYPERLIQUID·POLYMARKET·0 POLLS·SRC WARMING·UPTIME 0s·NEXT POLL 8.0s·CC0 OPEN DATA·HYPO.MARKETS·▶ STREAMING·HYPERLIQUID·POLYMARKET·0 POLLS·SRC WARMING·UPTIME 0s·NEXT POLL 8.0s·CC0 OPEN DATA·HYPO.MARKETS·
YES · live
48.0¢
NO · live
53.0¢
YES price · live 24h (Kalshi candlesticks)
no history
no history
YES / NO split · live
YES 47.5%NO 52.5%NO52.5%53.00¢ · odds 1/1.89
Σ 101.00% · moderate
Σ-sides total = 101.00% (1.00pp arb gap)
H(p) entropy = 0.998 / 1.00 bits (100%) · max uncertainty (~50/50)
YES
47.5%48.0¢2.08×▬ +0.00pp
NO
52.5%53.0¢1.89×▬ +0.00pp
Σ 101.00% · arb gap 1.00pp
Live numerics · pulse on poll
LIVE NUMERICS9 metrics·POLL 0
⏱snapshot age
48.1s
·ticker
KXWCGAME-26JUN27COLPOR-POR
▲YES bid
46.00¢
▲YES ask
48.00¢
ΣΣ sides
101.00%
⚖arb gap
1.000pp
$24h vol $
$30.1k
◐open interest $
$143.6k
◳history points
0 bars (live)

§1 · Quote

Ticker
KXWCGAME-26JUN27COLPOR-POR
Event ticker
KXWCGAME-26JUN27COLPOR
YES bid / ask
46.00¢ / 48.00¢ (spread 2.00pp)
NO bid / ask
52.00¢ / 54.00¢
Last YES
48.00¢
Σ-sides
101.00% (arb gap 1.00pp)

§2 · Activity

Volume 24h
$30.14k
Volume total
$90.85k
Open interest
$143.58k
Liquidity
$0.00
Close time
2026-07-11T23:30:00Z · 27.2d from now
Status
active

§3 · Resolution rules

If Portugal wins the Colombia vs Portugal professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

§∞ · Provenance & attestation

Upstream
api.elections.kalshi.com
Snapshot fetched
2026-06-14 19:17:58 UTC
Snapshot age
48.1s
SHA-256 attestation
50aa02a98c03d3165c103cf3219c59f0b6f257c5773ad1e090662f47120aeeac · deterministic hash of the source snapshot — proves this page was rendered from this exact data
Open data licence
CC0 / public domain · free to mirror, syndicate, analyse

Risk metrics

▸ upstream candles · 0 bars

insufficient samples — need ≥ 2 finite positive bars to compute returns. Source is fallback; sovereign store has not accumulated enough history yet.

/api/asset/kalshi-kxwcgame-26jun27colpor-por/risk · same metrics, JSON