KALSHI · CFTC-CLEARED BINARY CONTRACT · SPORTS

Sweden vs Tunisia Winner?

YES · live
28.0¢
NO · live
72.5¢

▸ Advanced metrics · M2M bundle

kalshi · kxwcgame-26jun14swetun-tie · fresh · feed 1m old
24h sparkline · 16 pts▼ —
realized vol (ann.)
—
max drawdown
—
sharpe
—
ulcer index
—
RMS drawdown
pain index
—
mean drawdown
mod. VaR 95%
—
Cornish-Fisher
martin ratio
—
ret / ulcer
CDaR 95%
—
cond. drawdown
gain/pain
—
Σgain / Σ|loss|
sterling
—
ret / CDaR
omega (θ=0)
—
upside/downside
roll spread
—
implied (price-only)
bars used
16
insufficient
spread
363.6 bps
24h Δ
—
flow lean
—
carry
flat
signalNEUTRALconfidence 0%
  • insufficient history for risk metrics — directional read only
Same bundle via M2M API: /api/m2m/kalshi-kxwcgame-26jun14swetun-tie/bundle · venue execution: kalshi →
LIVEPOLL0SRCWARMING1.2m⏱--:--:-- UTC8NEXT8.0sUP0s--:--HIST0/30
▶ STREAMING·HYPERLIQUID·POLYMARKET·0 POLLS·SRC WARMING·UPTIME 0s·NEXT POLL 8.0s·CC0 OPEN DATA·HYPO.MARKETS·▶ STREAMING·HYPERLIQUID·POLYMARKET·0 POLLS·SRC WARMING·UPTIME 0s·NEXT POLL 8.0s·CC0 OPEN DATA·HYPO.MARKETS·
YES · live
28.0¢
NO · live
72.5¢
YES price · live 24h (Kalshi candlesticks)
no history
no history
YES / NO split · live
YES 27.9%NO 72.1%NO72.1%72.50¢ · odds 1/1.38
Σ 100.50% · fair
Σ-sides total = 100.50% (tight rounding)
H(p) entropy = 0.854 / 1.00 bits (85%) · high uncertainty
YES
27.9%28.0¢3.57×▬ +0.00pp
NO
72.1%72.5¢1.38×▬ +0.00pp
Σ 100.50% · arb gap 0.50pp
Live numerics · pulse on poll
LIVE NUMERICS9 metrics·POLL 0
⏱snapshot age
1.2m
·ticker
KXWCGAME-26JUN14SWETUN-TIE
▲YES bid
27.00¢
▲YES ask
28.00¢
ΣΣ sides
100.50%
⚖arb gap
0.500pp
$24h vol $
$29.7k
◐open interest $
$87.0k
◳history points
0 bars (live)

§1 · Quote

Ticker
KXWCGAME-26JUN14SWETUN-TIE
Event ticker
KXWCGAME-26JUN14SWETUN
YES bid / ask
27.00¢ / 28.00¢ (spread 1.00pp)
NO bid / ask
72.00¢ / 73.00¢
Last YES
28.00¢
Σ-sides
100.50% (arb gap 0.50pp)

§2 · Activity

Volume 24h
$29.67k
Volume total
$32.18k
Open interest
$87.01k
Liquidity
$0.00
Close time
2026-06-29T02:00:00Z · 14.2d from now
Status
active

§3 · Resolution rules

If Tie wins the Sweden vs Tunisia professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

§∞ · Provenance & attestation

Upstream
api.elections.kalshi.com
Snapshot fetched
2026-06-14 20:35:55 UTC
Snapshot age
1.2m
SHA-256 attestation
336acfee99ac0ed13edb811cfdaf3b0e2e2a1c0b4c329a55971a963365fe1211 · deterministic hash of the source snapshot — proves this page was rendered from this exact data
Open data licence
CC0 / public domain · free to mirror, syndicate, analyse

Risk metrics

▸ upstream candles · 0 bars

insufficient samples — need ≥ 2 finite positive bars to compute returns. Source is fallback; sovereign store has not accumulated enough history yet.

/api/asset/kalshi-kxwcgame-26jun14swetun-tie/risk · same metrics, JSON