KALSHI · CFTC-CLEARED BINARY CONTRACT · ELECTIONS

Will Spencer Pratt receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

YES · live

1.0¢

NO · live

99.0¢

▸ Advanced metrics · M2M bundle

kalshi · kxvoteprimary-mayorla26spra-65 · fresh · feed 59s old

realized vol (ann.)

—

max drawdown

—

sharpe

—

ulcer index

—

RMS drawdown

pain index

—

mean drawdown

mod. VaR 95%

—

Cornish-Fisher

martin ratio

—

ret / ulcer

CDaR 95%

—

cond. drawdown

gain/pain

—

Σgain / Σ|loss|

sterling

—

ret / CDaR

omega (θ=0)

—

upside/downside

roll spread

—

implied (price-only)

bars used

insufficient

spread

—

24h Δ

—

flow lean

—

carry

flat

signalNEUTRALconfidence 0%

insufficient history for risk metrics — directional read only

Same bundle via M2M API: /api/m2m/kalshi-kxvoteprimary-mayorla26spra-65/bundle · venue execution: kalshi →

LIVEPOLL0SRCWARMING59.2s⏱--:--:-- UTCNEXT8.0sUP0s--:--HIST0/30

▶ STREAMING·HYPERLIQUID·POLYMARKET·0 POLLS·SRC WARMING·UPTIME 0s·NEXT POLL 8.0s·CC0 OPEN DATA·HYPO.MARKETS·▶ STREAMING·HYPERLIQUID·POLYMARKET·0 POLLS·SRC WARMING·UPTIME 0s·NEXT POLL 8.0s·CC0 OPEN DATA·HYPO.MARKETS·

YES · live

1.0¢

NO · live

99.0¢

YES price · live 24h (Kalshi candlesticks)

no history

YES / NO split · live

Σ 100.00% · fair

Σ-sides total = 100.00% (tight rounding)

H(p) entropy = 0.081 / 1.00 bits (8%) · informative — one side favoured

YES

1.0%1.0¢100.00×▬ +0.00pp

99.0%99.0¢1.01×▬ +0.00pp

Σ 100.00% · arb gap 0.00pp

Live numerics · pulse on poll

LIVE NUMERICS9 metrics·POLL 0

⏱snapshot age

59.2s

·ticker

KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-65

▲YES bid

0.00¢

▲YES ask

1.00¢

ΣΣ sides

100.00%

⚖arb gap

0.000pp

$24h vol $

$0.1

◐open interest $

$1.2M

◳history points

0 bars (live)

§1 · Quote

Ticker: KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA-65
Event ticker: KXVOTEPRIMARY-MAYORLA26SPRA
YES bid / ask: 0.00¢ / 1.00¢ (spread 1.00pp)
NO bid / ask: 99.00¢ / 100.00¢
Last YES: 1.00¢
Σ-sides: 100.00% (arb gap 0.00pp)

§2 · Activity

Volume 24h: $0.13
Volume total: $26.41k
Open interest: $1.25M
Liquidity: $0.00
Close time: 2027-06-02T14:00:00Z · 352.8d from now
Status: active

§3 · Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Spencer Pratt in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

§∞ · Provenance & attestation

Upstream: api.elections.kalshi.com
Snapshot fetched: 2026-06-14 19:17:58 UTC
Snapshot age: 59.2s
SHA-256 attestation: ecfc132033b28342ea8143ce87995b20b02af16ec3a61a498232192780955a1c · deterministic hash of the source snapshot — proves this page was rendered from this exact data
Open data licence: CC0 / public domain · free to mirror, syndicate, analyse

Risk metrics

▸ upstream candles · 0 bars

insufficient samples — need ≥ 2 finite positive bars to compute returns. Source is fallback; sovereign store has not accumulated enough history yet.

/api/asset/kalshi-kxvoteprimary-mayorla26spra-65/risk · same metrics, JSON