KALSHI · CFTC-CLEARED BINARY CONTRACT · SPORTS

Will Josh Hokit win the Hokit vs Lewis professional MMA fight scheduled for Jun 14, 2026?

YES · live

77.0¢

NO · live

22.5¢

▸ Advanced metrics · M2M bundle

kalshi · kxufcfight-26jun14hoklew-hok · fresh · feed 1m old

24h sparkline · 16 pts▼ —

realized vol (ann.)

—

max drawdown

—

sharpe

—

ulcer index

—

RMS drawdown

pain index

—

mean drawdown

mod. VaR 95%

—

Cornish-Fisher

martin ratio

—

ret / ulcer

CDaR 95%

—

cond. drawdown

gain/pain

—

Σgain / Σ|loss|

sterling

—

ret / CDaR

omega (θ=0)

—

upside/downside

roll spread

—

implied (price-only)

bars used

insufficient

spread

129.0 bps

24h Δ

—

flow lean

—

carry

flat

signalNEUTRALconfidence 0%

insufficient history for risk metrics — directional read only

Same bundle via M2M API: /api/m2m/kalshi-kxufcfight-26jun14hoklew-hok/bundle · venue execution: kalshi →

LIVEPOLL0SRCWARMING1.2m⏱--:--:-- UTCNEXT8.0sUP0s--:--HIST0/30

▶ STREAMING·HYPERLIQUID·POLYMARKET·0 POLLS·SRC WARMING·UPTIME 0s·NEXT POLL 8.0s·CC0 OPEN DATA·HYPO.MARKETS·▶ STREAMING·HYPERLIQUID·POLYMARKET·0 POLLS·SRC WARMING·UPTIME 0s·NEXT POLL 8.0s·CC0 OPEN DATA·HYPO.MARKETS·

YES · live

77.0¢

NO · live

22.5¢

YES price · live 24h (Kalshi candlesticks)

no history

YES / NO split · live

Σ 99.50% · moderate

Σ-sides total = 99.50% (0.50pp arb gap)

H(p) entropy = 0.771 / 1.00 bits (77%) · moderate uncertainty

YES

77.4%77.0¢1.30×▬ +0.00pp

22.6%22.5¢4.44×▬ +0.00pp

Σ 99.50% · arb gap 0.50pp

Live numerics · pulse on poll

LIVE NUMERICS9 metrics·POLL 0

⏱snapshot age

1.2m

·ticker

KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14HOKLEW-HOK

▲YES bid

77.00¢

▲YES ask

78.00¢

ΣΣ sides

99.50%

⚖arb gap

0.500pp

$24h vol $

$106.0k

◐open interest $

$250.4k

◳history points

0 bars (live)

§1 · Quote

Ticker: KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14HOKLEW-HOK
Event ticker: KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN14HOKLEW
YES bid / ask: 77.00¢ / 78.00¢ (spread 1.00pp)
NO bid / ask: 22.00¢ / 23.00¢
Last YES: 77.00¢
Σ-sides: 99.50% (arb gap 0.50pp)

§2 · Activity

Volume 24h: $106.02k
Volume total: $224.93k
Open interest: $250.45k
Liquidity: $0.00
Close time: 2026-06-29T01:00:00Z · 14.2d from now
Status: active

§3 · Resolution rules

If Josh Hokit wins the Hokit vs Lewis professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

§∞ · Provenance & attestation

Upstream: api.elections.kalshi.com
Snapshot fetched: 2026-06-14 20:35:55 UTC
Snapshot age: 1.2m
SHA-256 attestation: 763f4f2536e64217bd78ceb4d89a154d56a4ffb69e5f31a60835dc51fdaa01b2 · deterministic hash of the source snapshot — proves this page was rendered from this exact data
Open data licence: CC0 / public domain · free to mirror, syndicate, analyse

Risk metrics

▸ upstream candles · 0 bars

insufficient samples — need ≥ 2 finite positive bars to compute returns. Source is fallback; sovereign store has not accumulated enough history yet.

/api/asset/kalshi-kxufcfight-26jun14hoklew-hok/risk · same metrics, JSON