KALSHI · CFTC-CLEARED BINARY CONTRACT · SPORTS

Will Joaquin Niemann win the U.S. Open?

YES · live
0.8¢
NO · live
99.3¢

▸ Advanced metrics · M2M bundle

kalshi · kxpgatour-uso26-jnie · fresh · feed 1m old
24h sparkline · 16 pts▼ —
realized vol (ann.)
—
max drawdown
—
sharpe
—
ulcer index
—
RMS drawdown
pain index
—
mean drawdown
mod. VaR 95%
—
Cornish-Fisher
martin ratio
—
ret / ulcer
CDaR 95%
—
cond. drawdown
gain/pain
—
Σgain / Σ|loss|
sterling
—
ret / CDaR
omega (θ=0)
—
upside/downside
roll spread
—
implied (price-only)
bars used
16
insufficient
spread
2857.1 bps
24h Δ
—
flow lean
—
carry
flat
signalNEUTRALconfidence 0%
  • insufficient history for risk metrics — directional read only
Same bundle via M2M API: /api/m2m/kalshi-kxpgatour-uso26-jnie/bundle · venue execution: kalshi →
LIVEPOLL0SRCWARMING1.0m⏱--:--:-- UTC8NEXT8.0sUP0s--:--HIST0/30
▶ STREAMING·HYPERLIQUID·POLYMARKET·0 POLLS·SRC WARMING·UPTIME 0s·NEXT POLL 8.0s·CC0 OPEN DATA·HYPO.MARKETS·▶ STREAMING·HYPERLIQUID·POLYMARKET·0 POLLS·SRC WARMING·UPTIME 0s·NEXT POLL 8.0s·CC0 OPEN DATA·HYPO.MARKETS·
YES · live
0.8¢
NO · live
99.3¢
YES price · live 24h (Kalshi candlesticks)
no history
no history
YES / NO split · live
YES 0.8%NO 99.2%NO99.2%99.30¢ · odds 1/1.01
Σ 100.10% · fair
Σ-sides total = 100.10% (tight rounding)
H(p) entropy = 0.067 / 1.00 bits (7%) · informative — one side favoured
YES
0.8%0.8¢125.00×▬ +0.00pp
NO
99.2%99.3¢1.01×▬ +0.00pp
Σ 100.10% · arb gap 0.10pp
Live numerics · pulse on poll
LIVE NUMERICS9 metrics·POLL 0
⏱snapshot age
1.0m
·ticker
KXPGATOUR-USO26-JNIE
▲YES bid
0.60¢
▲YES ask
0.80¢
ΣΣ sides
100.10%
⚖arb gap
0.100pp
$24h vol $
$36.3
◐open interest $
$734.3k
◳history points
0 bars (live)

§1 · Quote

Ticker
KXPGATOUR-USO26-JNIE
Event ticker
KXPGATOUR-USO26
YES bid / ask
0.60¢ / 0.80¢ (spread 0.20pp)
NO bid / ask
99.20¢ / 99.40¢
Last YES
0.80¢
Σ-sides
100.10% (arb gap 0.10pp)

§2 · Activity

Volume 24h
$36.33
Volume total
$6.61k
Open interest
$734.34k
Liquidity
$0.00
Close time
2026-07-05T04:00:00Z · 20.3d from now
Status
active

§3 · Resolution rules

If Joaquin Niemann wins the U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

§∞ · Provenance & attestation

Upstream
api.elections.kalshi.com
Snapshot fetched
2026-06-14 20:35:55 UTC
Snapshot age
1.0m
SHA-256 attestation
706b49d82059ac3f70c61218b722f276c234e0868167cf388f12ce5a2a06d1e1 · deterministic hash of the source snapshot — proves this page was rendered from this exact data
Open data licence
CC0 / public domain · free to mirror, syndicate, analyse

Risk metrics

▸ upstream candles · 0 bars

insufficient samples — need ≥ 2 finite positive bars to compute returns. Source is fallback; sovereign store has not accumulated enough history yet.

/api/asset/kalshi-kxpgatour-uso26-jnie/risk · same metrics, JSON