KALSHI · CFTC-CLEARED BINARY CONTRACT · ELECTIONS

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?

YES · live
6.0¢
NO · live
94.4¢

▸ Advanced metrics · M2M bundle

kalshi · kxgovflnomr-26-jfis · fresh · feed 12s old
24h sparkline · 10 pts▼ —
realized vol (ann.)
—
max drawdown
—
sharpe
—
ulcer index
—
RMS drawdown
pain index
—
mean drawdown
mod. VaR 95%
—
Cornish-Fisher
martin ratio
—
ret / ulcer
CDaR 95%
—
cond. drawdown
gain/pain
—
Σgain / Σ|loss|
sterling
—
ret / CDaR
omega (θ=0)
—
upside/downside
roll spread
—
implied (price-only)
bars used
10
insufficient
spread
900.9 bps
24h Δ
—
flow lean
—
carry
flat
signalNEUTRALconfidence 0%
  • insufficient history for risk metrics — directional read only
Same bundle via M2M API: /api/m2m/kalshi-kxgovflnomr-26-jfis/bundle · venue execution: kalshi →
LIVEPOLL0SRCWARMING11.8s⏱--:--:-- UTC8NEXT8.0sUP0s--:--HIST0/30
▶ STREAMING·HYPERLIQUID·POLYMARKET·0 POLLS·SRC WARMING·UPTIME 0s·NEXT POLL 8.0s·CC0 OPEN DATA·HYPO.MARKETS·▶ STREAMING·HYPERLIQUID·POLYMARKET·0 POLLS·SRC WARMING·UPTIME 0s·NEXT POLL 8.0s·CC0 OPEN DATA·HYPO.MARKETS·
YES · live
6.0¢
NO · live
94.4¢
YES price · live 24h (Kalshi candlesticks)
no history
no history
YES / NO split · live
YES 6.0%NO 94.0%NO94.0%94.45¢ · odds 1/1.06
Σ 100.45% · fair
Σ-sides total = 100.45% (tight rounding)
H(p) entropy = 0.326 / 1.00 bits (33%) · informative — one side favoured
YES
6.0%6.0¢16.67×▬ +0.00pp
NO
94.0%94.4¢1.06×▬ +0.00pp
Σ 100.45% · arb gap 0.45pp
Live numerics · pulse on poll
LIVE NUMERICS9 metrics·POLL 0
⏱snapshot age
11.8s
·ticker
KXGOVFLNOMR-26-JFIS
▲YES bid
5.30¢
▲YES ask
5.80¢
ΣΣ sides
100.45%
⚖arb gap
0.450pp
$24h vol $
$3.7k
◐open interest $
$2.1M
◳history points
0 bars (live)

§1 · Quote

Ticker
KXGOVFLNOMR-26-JFIS
Event ticker
KXGOVFLNOMR-26
YES bid / ask
5.30¢ / 5.80¢ (spread 0.50pp)
NO bid / ask
94.20¢ / 94.70¢
Last YES
6.00¢
Σ-sides
100.45% (arb gap 0.45pp)

§2 · Activity

Volume 24h
$3.66k
Volume total
$260.23k
Open interest
$2.08M
Liquidity
$0.00
Close time
2026-11-03T15:00:00Z · 141.8d from now
Status
active

§3 · Resolution rules

If James Fishback wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Florida Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

§∞ · Provenance & attestation

Upstream
api.elections.kalshi.com
Snapshot fetched
2026-06-14 20:26:54 UTC
Snapshot age
11.8s
SHA-256 attestation
6dcb017e3a35c4fbc48f783754eb5ab7653ea032347c3bbe296c86c0aaff547a · deterministic hash of the source snapshot — proves this page was rendered from this exact data
Open data licence
CC0 / public domain · free to mirror, syndicate, analyse

Risk metrics

▸ upstream candles · 0 bars

insufficient samples — need ≥ 2 finite positive bars to compute returns. Source is fallback; sovereign store has not accumulated enough history yet.

/api/asset/kalshi-kxgovflnomr-26-jfis/risk · same metrics, JSON