KALSHI · CFTC-CLEARED BINARY CONTRACT · SPORTS

Will Conor McGregor be on the UFC 2026 White House event card?

YES · live
1.0¢
NO · live
99.0¢

▸ Advanced metrics · M2M bundle

kalshi · kxcardpresenceufcwh-26jul04-cmcg · fresh · feed 1m old
realized vol (ann.)
—
max drawdown
—
sharpe
—
ulcer index
—
RMS drawdown
pain index
—
mean drawdown
mod. VaR 95%
—
Cornish-Fisher
martin ratio
—
ret / ulcer
CDaR 95%
—
cond. drawdown
gain/pain
—
Σgain / Σ|loss|
sterling
—
ret / CDaR
omega (θ=0)
—
upside/downside
roll spread
—
implied (price-only)
bars used
0
insufficient
spread
—
24h Δ
—
flow lean
—
carry
flat
signalNEUTRALconfidence 0%
  • insufficient history for risk metrics — directional read only
Same bundle via M2M API: /api/m2m/kalshi-kxcardpresenceufcwh-26jul04-cmcg/bundle · venue execution: kalshi →
LIVEPOLL0SRCWARMING1.1m⏱--:--:-- UTC8NEXT8.0sUP0s--:--HIST0/30
▶ STREAMING·HYPERLIQUID·POLYMARKET·0 POLLS·SRC WARMING·UPTIME 0s·NEXT POLL 8.0s·CC0 OPEN DATA·HYPO.MARKETS·▶ STREAMING·HYPERLIQUID·POLYMARKET·0 POLLS·SRC WARMING·UPTIME 0s·NEXT POLL 8.0s·CC0 OPEN DATA·HYPO.MARKETS·
YES · live
1.0¢
NO · live
99.0¢
YES price · live 24h (Kalshi candlesticks)
no history
no history
YES / NO split · live
YES 1.0%NO 99.0%NO99.0%99.00¢ · odds 1/1.01
Σ 100.00% · fair
Σ-sides total = 100.00% (tight rounding)
H(p) entropy = 0.081 / 1.00 bits (8%) · informative — one side favoured
YES
1.0%1.0¢100.00×▬ +0.00pp
NO
99.0%99.0¢1.01×▬ +0.00pp
Σ 100.00% · arb gap 0.00pp
Live numerics · pulse on poll
LIVE NUMERICS9 metrics·POLL 0
⏱snapshot age
1.1m
·ticker
KXCARDPRESENCEUFCWH-26JUL04-CMCG
▲YES bid
0.00¢
▲YES ask
1.00¢
ΣΣ sides
100.00%
⚖arb gap
0.000pp
$24h vol $
$421.5
◐open interest $
$259.7k
◳history points
0 bars (live)

§1 · Quote

Ticker
KXCARDPRESENCEUFCWH-26JUL04-CMCG
Event ticker
KXCARDPRESENCEUFCWH-26JUL04
YES bid / ask
0.00¢ / 1.00¢ (spread 1.00pp)
NO bid / ask
99.00¢ / 100.00¢
Last YES
1.00¢
Σ-sides
100.00% (arb gap 0.00pp)

§2 · Activity

Volume 24h
$421.53
Volume total
$8.57k
Open interest
$259.69k
Liquidity
$0.00
Close time
2026-07-04T03:59:00Z · 19.4d from now
Status
active

§3 · Resolution rules

If Conor McGregor is officially listed to compete on the UFC 2026 White House event fight card before Jul 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

§∞ · Provenance & attestation

Upstream
api.elections.kalshi.com
Snapshot fetched
2026-06-14 19:17:58 UTC
Snapshot age
1.1m
SHA-256 attestation
90e36887d03a7ef8a972c10a1a4068353e711f372532663f92dc224a8cbb1d9a · deterministic hash of the source snapshot — proves this page was rendered from this exact data
Open data licence
CC0 / public domain · free to mirror, syndicate, analyse

Risk metrics

▸ upstream candles · 0 bars

insufficient samples — need ≥ 2 finite positive bars to compute returns. Source is fallback; sovereign store has not accumulated enough history yet.

/api/asset/kalshi-kxcardpresenceufcwh-26jul04-cmcg/risk · same metrics, JSON