TF-IDF basket · Engle-Granger pairs · Polymarket
Related to Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Markets in the same TF-IDF topic cluster, with a 7-day Engle-Granger cointegration screen against each peer. Pairs with t-statistic below −3.34 reject the null of no cointegration at the 5% level — meaning the two markets share a stationary spread useful for relative-value trades.
§1 · Topic basket · “counter · strike · bo3” (21 markets)
Top terms: counterstrikebo3mapplayoffssports
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs72.5¢ YES · $59.6k 24h
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner100.0¢ YES · $30.1k 24h
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner69.0¢ YES · $32.6k 24h
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs40.5¢ YES · $514.6k 24h
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner43.5¢ YES · $22.3k 24h
- ★ Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffs60.5¢ YES · $29.1k 24h
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffs100.0¢ YES · $184.4k 24h
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner0.1¢ YES · $58.7k 24h
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs31.5¢ YES · $41.6k 24h
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs99.5¢ YES · $56.1k 24h
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner100.0¢ YES · $19.6k 24h
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs62.5¢ YES · $121.4k 24h
- Counter-Strike: MASQ vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group B100.0¢ YES · $40.8k 24h
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs0.1¢ YES · $171.4k 24h
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs57.5¢ YES · $372.1k 24h
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner52.5¢ YES · $25.3k 24h
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner59.5¢ YES · $18.8k 24h
- Counter-Strike: xept vs Clutchain (BO3) - United21 Group B49.5¢ YES · $76.0k 24h
- Counter-Strike: xept vs Clutchain - Map 2 Winner49.5¢ YES · $30.0k 24h
- Map Handicap: CC (-1.5) vs xept (+1.5)50.5¢ YES · $23.5k 24h
- Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs0.1¢ YES · $104.4k 24h
§2 · Engle-Granger cointegration screen (2 pairs tested)
For each peer, 7d aligned series are regressed; the residuals are tested for a unit root (ADF). Reject H₀ (no cointegration) at 5% when t < −3.34. Cointegrated pairs share a stationary spread — candidates for pairs / basket trades.
| Peer | t-stat | n | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| -3.338 | 32 | no rejection · independent | |
| -2.719 | 32 | no rejection · independent |
▸ Advanced metrics · M2M bundle
polymarket · cs2-echo-ice-2026-06-20 · fresh · feed 10s old24h sparkline · 60 pts▼ —
realized vol (ann.)
110.18%
max drawdown
7.25%
sharpe
—
ulcer index
2.05%
RMS drawdown
pain index
1.32%
mean drawdown
mod. VaR 95%
0.00%
Cornish-Fisher
martin ratio
—
ret / ulcer
CDaR 95%
3.05%
cond. drawdown
gain/pain
1.14
Σgain / Σ|loss|
sterling
—
ret / CDaR
omega (θ=0)
1.14
upside/downside
roll spread
0.3 bps
implied (price-only)
bars used
1048
store
spread
—
24h Δ
—
flow lean
—
carry
flat
signalNEUTRALconfidence 20%
Same bundle via M2M API:
/api/m2m/pm-cs2-echo-ice-2026-06-20/bundle · venue execution: polymarket →