{"ok":true,"asset":"pm-cs2-m8-ruby1-2026-06-20","type":"pm","now":1781956606242,"market":{"id":"2608151","slug":"cs2-m8-ruby1-2026-06-20","question":"Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs","yesProb":0.625,"noProb":0.375,"liquidity":64949.3441,"volume24h":116566.39106500005,"endDate":"2026-06-20T20:00:00Z","category":"Sports"},"snapshot":{"fetchedAt":1781956592692,"ageMs":13550,"stale":false},"stats":{"n":20,"range":{"min":0.58,"max":0.705,"span":0.125},"moments":{"mean":0.642,"stdev":0.0419711680486548,"cv":0.06537565116612896,"skew":0.0797043420462236,"kurtosis":-1.0669186396058428,"ci95":{"lo":0.6236053245690356,"hi":0.6603946754309644,"halfWidth":0.01839467543096443}},"returns":{"mean":-0.003684210526315787,"stdev":0.04271488503447918,"annualisedVol":3.9978941825337064,"sharpe":null,"sortino":null,"calmar":null,"sharpeAdjAC":null,"omega":0.7500000000000002,"skew":-1.006875116941953,"kurtosis":3.5243174174833567,"gainToPain":0.7500000000000002,"returnMode":"diff","framing":"horizon","sharpeSuppressedReason":"bounded binary probability — √periodsPerYear annualisation is dimensionless; see the horizon block"},"horizon":{"daysToResolve":0.33557590277777777,"barsPerDay":24,"totalBars":8.053821666666666,"perDayMove":0.20925934551223882,"perHorizonMove":0.12122166540574626,"terminalVariance":0.234375,"resolvedFrom":"endDate","available":true},"risk":{"var95":0.07550000000000001,"var99":0.11510000000000001,"es95":0.125,"es90":0.09750000000000003,"es99":0.125,"esTailConcentration":0,"ulcerIndex":0.10650111643745533,"cdar95":0.1773049645390071,"drawdownAtRisk95":0.17056737588652482,"sterling":null,"tailIndex":null,"tailIndexWide":null,"maxDrawdown":0.1773049645390071,"drawdownPeak":0.705,"drawdownTrough":0.58,"drawdownDurationBars":5},"structure":{"hurst":0.9624316255922815,"autocorr1":-0.45738444669365697,"autocorr2":-0.1380461369770582,"trendT":-3.001953762843048,"halfLifeMR":0.9049439322777049,"permEntropy":0.9357819290968922,"permEntropyTieFrac":0.23529411764705882,"rollSpreadBps":925.8854880647459},"tests":{"jarqueBera":{"stat":13.0435025837182,"p":0.0014710905362220173,"reject":true},"ljungBox":{"stat":10.407316147461824,"p":0.06377976756973236,"reject":false},"ljungBoxProfile":[{"lag":1,"stat":4.637278461045991,"p":0.02954218284295851,"reject":true},{"lag":2,"stat":5.084551263268414,"p":0.07667730782984905,"reject":false},{"lag":3,"stat":8.375309859043407,"p":0.038235608590909576,"reject":true},{"lag":5,"stat":10.407316147461824,"p":0.06377976756973236,"reject":false},{"lag":10,"stat":12.798802640440393,"p":0.23447542415588052,"reject":false}],"adf":{"stat":-2.629744394128977,"p":0.08969924239155566,"reject":false,"criticalValue":-2.86},"kpss":{"stat":0.44726349490870115,"p":0.05678297633245641,"reject":false,"criticalValue":0.463},"runs":{"stat":1.1126972805283735,"p":0.26583855944680557,"reject":false,"runs":10,"n1":7,"n2":7},"varianceRatio":{"stat":-1.8707352206125198,"p":0.06138166214229557,"reject":false,"vr":0.5708239064856715,"horizon":2}},"verdict":{"regime":"calm","stationary":"ambiguous","autocorrelated":true,"efficient":true,"tailRisk":"fat"}}}